Al Monitor: Russian President Vladimir Putin had been banking on Iraqi Kurdistan Region President Massoud Barzani. Over the past year, Russia has invested over $4 billion in the Kurdistan Region’s energy sector, overtaking the United States as the largest investor.
Putin has forged a fragile consensus with Iran and Turkey on cease-fires in Syria, and he can’t afford to lose either Iran or Turkey, or both, and maintain his position. There is no Russian military muscle to flex in Iraq, as it has in Syria, especially compared with the assets of Turkey and Iran there. As we wrote here earlier this summer, the referendum has revealed the limits, rather than the extent, of Barzani’s influence and leverage with Baghdad and the region. If the Kurdistan Region faces hardship or conflict as a result of the referendum, Barzani could be blamed or weakened in the ensuing fallout.
Putin has much at risk, but is not without options, in contemplating his next moves. If he misplays his hand in northern Iraq by banking on a weakened Barzani, he may end up finding himself exposed and on defense in both Syria and Iraq, and at odds with Iran and Turkey — the worst of all worlds. Or he can tactfully shift toward the Iran-Turkey alignment, which is gaining traction and strength, quietly distancing himself from dependence on Barzani while opening discussions with Baghdad to pursue Russia’s energy interests in northern Iraq. more …
Opinion: What Putin had not banked on was that Barzani would go ahead with the independence referendum on Sept. 25 against widespread international and regional opposition.
The Kurds, however are determined to create a separate state, and though Putin would like to have hooks in every oil state in the Middle East, he is more likely to stay close to Iran and Turkey where he has more leverage.
It is important to note that Kurds are not Arab. In fact, the Kurds see the Arabs as their enemy, not the Jews.
The Jewish community in Kurdistan is one of the oldest in the world and dates back to the Babylonian Captivity in 586 BC. The Israelites lived in relative security next to Christians and Muslims and even today there is no animosity between the Kurds (ancient Medes) and Israel.
There are three take-aways from this article and they all involve future prophetic wars and who controls ME oil.
- Putin had the past 8 years to form relationships with ME oil nations, while in the US Barack Obama waged a destructive war against fossil fuels, even going so far as to sign up for the Paris Climate agreement, which was little more than a plan to bankrupt the world’s only superpower.
- Since Putin is the only leader of the three nations with a working relationship with Benjamin Netanyahu, a shift toward an Iran-Turkey alignment would put him in the control position to try to take over Israel’s oil and gas.
3. If the fulfillment of Genesis 49:25, Deuteronomy 33:19, and Isaiah 45:3 is a major oil find, Putin may be the Russian leader who fulfills the role of Gog in Ezekiel 38:1-6.
(for more on the war of Gog and Magog see the Last Wars in Prophecy here)